Here’s MMAmania.com’s Noche UFC 4 betting odds ‘Weekend Lock’ … what’s yours?
Noche UFC 4 is less than 24 hours away …
It all goes down this weekend (Sat., Sept. 12, 2026), inside Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Arizona. In the main event, Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Featherweight madman, Jean Silva, collides with Jose Delgado (not Yair Rodriguez) in fight that should be extremely fun … for as long as it lasts.
We have a weekly series at MMAmania.com called “Weekend Lock,” where we share one bet that we predict will slap in the desert when the chaotic dust settles. We also want to hear what our readers think (that’s you!), so please tell us your most confident Noche UFC 4 betting lock in the comments section below (see full Noche UFC 4 odds here).
Last week’s recap: We missed last week’s lock by a mere 37 seconds, as Kurtis Campbell secured victory over Trevor Peek at the 3:07 mark of the third round, which was not under 2.5 rounds. Pain.
Let’s keep rolling below:
Exciting Featherweights Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki collide in the “Featured Fight” after an already-heated fight week that included the two prospects getting into a fiery argument at the fighter hotel.
With all of that bad blood, I’m expecting violence … just not immediately.
This week, I’m locking in McMillen vs. Rahiki, “Over 1.5 Rounds (-160).”
Here’s why:
Both of these guys are durable as hell.
McMillen is coming off a historic striking performance in his last outing, landing a ridiculous 252 significant strikes against Alberto Montes (watch highlights). Despite that absurd output, McMillen still couldn’t put Montes away until the third round.
Yes, “Tommy Gunz” has plenty of first round finishes on his resume; however, most came against a much lower-level of competition before he reached UFC. As the opposition has improved, we’ve started to see that his ridiculous volume doesn’t necessarily translate into an immediate finish.
Rahiki might be even harder to put away.
He has three first round finishes of his own, so he’s certainly capable of ending things quickly. However, he also owns four second-round finishes, showing that his offense remains dangerous once the initial five minutes are in the rearview mirror.
More important, we’ve already seen just how ridiculously tough Rahiki is.
His Contender Series fight was an absolute war. Rahiki got beaten to a pulp, was dropped multiple times and looked like he was on the verge of being finished — yet somehow survived, battled back and eventually won.
That’s exactly the kind of durability I want when betting an “Over.”
And while the legitimate heat between these two could make the opening minutes hectic, I actually think their toughness is what gets us to the 7.5-minute mark. They can hurt each other without necessarily putting each other away immediately.
What could go wrong?
Well, these two genuinely don’t like each “other.
All of the pre-fight trash talk and their heated hotel confrontation could lead to both men throwing caution to the wind as soon as the cage door closes. McMillen has legitimate finishing power, while Rahiki has shown he can start incredibly fast himself.
So, yes, an early firefight is absolutely possible.
Ultimately, I do think this fight ends in a finish. There’s simply too much aggression, output and bad blood for me to confidently predict 15 minutes.
I just don’t think it happens in the first round.
Give me Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki “Over 1.5 Rounds (-160)” as this week’s “Weekend Lock.”
- Tommy McMillen via TKO/KO/DQ: +300
- Tommy McMillen via submission: +450
- Tommy McMillen via decision: +300
- Marwan Rahiki via TKO/KO/DQ: +215
- Marwan Rahiki via submission: +2000
- Marwan Rahiki via decision: +550
MMA Mania
Will Tommy McMillen win ten fights in UFC?
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Source: original · archived on viral-news.eu